Monday, October 28, 2019

Here are our playoff projections

The first couple of times we did a little exercise called "If the playoffs started today". Now with one week left in the regular season in Tennessee and two weeks left in Arkansas and Mississippi, we are actually going to project who gets in and who gets left out. Thanks to the TSSAA for releasing the different playoff scenarios just in case.

TN 6A

Region 8 #4-Germantown
Region 7 #1-Houston

Region 7 #3-Arlington
Region 8 #2-White Station

Region 8 #3-Central
Region 7 #2-Bartlett

Region 7 #4-Collierville
Region 8 #1-Whitehaven

If Central & Germantown win, Central is 1, Whitehaven is 2, Germantown is 3, White Station is 4
All other scenarios have Whitehaven is 1, White Station is 2, Central is 3, Germantown is 4

Houston is #1
If Bartlett wins, Bartlett is 2, Arlington is 3, Collierville is 4
If Arlington & Collierville win, Arlington is 2, Collierville is 3, Bartlett is 4
If Cordova & Collierville win, Collierville is 2, Bartlett is 3, Cordova is 4

TN 5A

Region 8 #4-Ridgeway
Region 7 #1-Henry Co

Region 7 #3-Clarksville
Region 8 #2-Munford

Region 8 #3-Kirby
Region 7 #2-Dyer Co

Region 7 #4-Kenwood
Region 8 #1-Southwind

If Southwind, Ridgeway & Munford win, Southwind is 1, Munford is 2, Ridgeway is 3, Kirby is 4
If Houston, Ridgeway & Munford win, Munford is 1, Ridgeway is 2, Southwind is 3, Kirby is 4
If Ridgeway & Kingsbury win, Ridgeway is 1, Southwind is 2, Munford is 3, Kirby is 4
If Kirby wins, Southwind is 1, Munford is 2, Kirby is 3, Ridgeway is 4

Henry Co is 1, Dyer Co is 2, Clarksville is 3
If West Creek & Dyer Co win, West Creek is 4
All other scenarios, Kenwood is 4


TN 4A

Region 8 #4-Craigmont
Region 7 #1-Haywood

Region 7 #3-Ripley
Region 8 #2-Fayette Ware

Region 8 #3-Bolton
Region 7 #2-Crockett Co

Region 7 #4-Dyersburg
Region 8 #1-Millington

If Millington wins, Millington is 1, Fayette Ware is 2, Bolton is 3, Craigmont is 4
If Craigmont & Bolton win, Bolton is 1, Millington is 2, Fayette Ware is 3, Craigmont is 4
If Bolton & Fayette Ware win, Fayette Ware is 1, Bolton is 2, Millington is 3, Craigmont is 4

Haywood is #1
If Crockett Co wins, they are 2, Ripley is 3, Dyersburg is 4
If Dyersburg & Ripley win, Ripley is 2, Dyersburg is 3, Crockett Co is 4
If Dyersburg & Lake Co win, Crockett Co is 2, Ripley is 3, Dyersburg is 4

TN 3A

Region 8 #4-Raleigh Egypt/Sheffield loser
Region 7 #1-South Gibson

Region 7 #3-Covington
Region 8 #2-Melrose

Region 8 #3-Raleigh Egypt/Sheffield winner
Region 7 #2-Milan

Region 7 #4-Westview
Region 8 #1-Wooddale

If Covington & Westview win, Covington is 2, Westview is 3, McNairy Central is 4
If McNairy Central & Milan win, McNairy Central is 2, Milan is 3, Covington is 4
If Covington & Milan win, Milan is 2, Covington is 3, Westview is 4
If McNairy Central & Westview win, Westview is 2, McNairy Central is 3, Milan is 4


TN 2A

Region 8 #4-MAHS
Region 7 #1-Peabody

Region 7 #3-McKenzie/Adamsville winner
Region 8 #2-Mitchell

Region 8 #3-Douglass
Region 7 #2-Union City

Region 7 #4-McKenzie/Adamsville loser
Region 8 #1-Fairley

Fairley is #1, Mitchell is #2
If Douglass and MAHS win or they both lose, Douglass is 3 and MAHS is 4
If Douglass loses and MAHS wins, MAHS is 3, Douglass is 4

Peabody is #1
If Peabody, Union City & McKenzie win, Peabody-1, Union City-2, McKenzie-3, Adamsville-4
If Peabody, Union City & Adamsville win, Peabody-1, Union City-2, Adamsville-3, McKenzie-4
If Halls & Adamsville win, Adamsville is 2, Gibson Co is 3, Union City is 4
If Halls & McKenzie win, McKenzie is 2, Gibson Co is 3, Union City is 4
If Union City, Adamsville & Gibson Co win, Gibson Co is 2, Union City is 3, Adamsville is 4
If Union City, McKenzie & Gibson Co win, Gibson Co is 2, Union City is 3, McKenzie is 4


TN 1A

Region 8 #4-East
Region 7 #1-Lake Co

Region 7 #3-Greenfield/West Carroll loser
Region 8 #2-MASE

Region 8 #3-BTW
Region 7 #2-Greenfield/West Carroll winner

Region 7 #4-Dresden
Region 8 #1-Middle College

Middle College is #1.
If East and BTW win, East is 2, BTW is 3, MASE is 4
If MASE wins, MASE is 2, East is 3, BTW is 4
If MASE, Bluff City & Westwood win, MASE is 2, East is 3, Westwood is 4
If East, Bluff City & Middle College win, East is 2, MASE is 3, BTW is 4
If East, Bluff City & Westwood win, East is 2, MASE is 3, Westwood is 4

Lake Co is #1
If Dresden wins, they are 4
If Humboldt and South Fulton win, South Fulton is 4
If Humboldt and Gleason win, Humboldt is 4

TN D2A

Top half of bracket

East #1-Friendship Christian
BYE

East #5-Mt Juliet Christian
West #4-Fayette Academy/Columbia Academy winner

West #6-Tipton Rosemark
East #3-DCA

West #2-Davidson Academy
BYE

Bottom half of bracket

West #1-Nashville Christian
BYE

West #5-Fayette Academy/Columbia Academy loser
East #4-MTCS

East #6-Chattanooga Grace
West #3-USJ

East #2-King's Academy
BYE

If Trinity Christian wins, they are 6 and Tipton Rosemark is out.
If Clarksville Academy, Columbia Academy & Nashville Christian win OR Clarksville Academy, Fayette Academy & Nashville Christian win then a massive tie breaker will take place for 6th place

Friendship Christian is #1, King's Academy is #2
If Webb School, Franklin Grace & DCA win, DCA-3, MTCS-4, Mt Juliet Christian-5, Webb-6
If Mt Juliet Christian, Webb School & Chattanooga Grace win, Mt Juliet Christian-3, DCA-4, MTCS-5, Chattanooga Grace-6
If Mt Juliet Christian, Webb School & Franklin Grace win, Mt Juliet Christian-3, DCA-4, MTCS-5, Webb School-6
All other scenarios, DCA-3, MTCS-4, Mt Juliet Christian-5, Chattanooga Grace-6

TN D2AA

Bottom half of bracket only

West #6-Northpoint Christian/Harding Academy loser
West #1-ECS

Middle #3-FRA
West #3-FACS

West #5-Northpoint Christian/Harding Academy winner
Middle #2-Lipscomb Academy

West #4-St. George's
West #2-Lausanne

If Lausanne wins, they are 2, FACS-3, St. George's-4
If FACS, St. George's win, FACS-1, ECS-2, St. George's-3, Lausanne-4,
If ECS & St. George's win, ECS-1, FACS-2, St. George's-3, Lausanne-4,
Harding Academy/Northpoint Christian winner is 5, loser is 6

If CPA & BGA win, FRA-2, BGA-3
If CPA & Lipscomb Academy win, Lipscomb Academy-2, FRA-3
If FRA & BGA win, CPA-2, BGA-3
If FRA & Lipscomb Academy win, CPA-2, Lipscomb Academy-3

TN D2AAA

West #4-CBHS
East #1-McCallie

East #3-Knoxville Catholic
West #2-MBA

East #4-Brentwood Academy
West #1-Briarcrest

West #3-MUS
East #2-Baylor

If Briarcrest and CBHS win, Briarcrest-1, MUS-2, CBHS-3, MBA-4
If MUS and CBHS win, MUS-1, Briarcrest-2, CBHS-3, MBA-4
If Briarcrest and MBA win-Briarcrest-1, MBA-2, MUS-3,CBHS-4
If MUS & MBA win, MUS-1, Briarcrest-2, MBA-3, CBHS-4

McCallie is #1
If McCallie, Baylor & Father Ryan win, Baylor-2, Brentwood Academy-3, Ensworth-4
If Baylor, Ensworth & Father Ryan win, Baylor-2, Ensworth-3, Brentwood Academy-4
If Baylor, Ensworth, Knoxville Catholic win, Baylor-2, Ensworth-3, Knoxville Catholic-4
If McCallie, Baylor & Knoxville Catholic win, Baylor-2, Knoxville Catholic-3, Brentwood Academy-4
If Brentwood Academy wins, Brentwood Academy-2, Baylor-3, Ensworth-4



MS 5A (Based on current standings)

Region 2 #4-Provine
Region 1 #1-West Point

Region 1 #3-Lake Cormorant
Region 2 #2-Ridgeland

Region 2 #3-Holmes Co Central
Region 1 #2-Lafayette

Region 1 #4-Center Hill
Region 2 #1-Neshoba Central


MS 6A (Based on current standings)

Region 2 #4-Madison Central
Region 1 #1-Oxford

Region 1 #3-Tupelo
Region 2 #2-South Panola

Region 2 #3-Warren Central
Region 1 #2-Olive Branch

Region 1 #4-Horn Lake
Region 2 #1-Starkville


ARK 6A (Based on current standings)

Top half of bracket

East #1-Jonesboro
BYE

East #5-Marion/West Memphis/Sylvan Hills
West #4-Sheridan

West #2-Benton
BYE

West #6-Siloam Springs
East #3-Marion/West Memphis/Sylvan Hills

Bottom half of bracket

West #1-Lake Hamilton
BYE

West #5-El Dorado
East #4-Marion/West Memphis/Sylvan Hills

East #2-Searcy
BYE

East #6-Pine Bluff
West #3-Greenwood

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